What the Numbers Tell me About Russell Wilson vs. Josh Rosen
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PostPosted: Fri Nov 09, 2018 5:39 am    Post subject: What the Numbers Tell me About Russell Wilson vs. Josh Rosen Reply with quote

Ryan MichaelPro Football AnalystPublished: September 29th Youth Benson Mayowa Jersey , 2018Ryan Michael is a Pro Football Analyst who specializes in quarterback statistics, analytics, film-study and interviews with NFL veterans. He has used his own era-adjusted metric, QBS2, to grade every qualifying starting quarterback since 1937. For more information, visit his website: www.quarterbackscore.webs.com and follow him on Twitter: @theryanmichaelIf you’re familiar with my work, you know that I hold both Seahawks quarterback Russell Wilson and Cardinals quarterback Josh Rosen in high regard. I’ve gone as far as to label Wilson the NFL’s “most underrated quarterback” and Rosen “the best pure passing prospect I’ve seen since Peyton Manning”. High praise, sure. But reality is, neither Wilson nor Rosen have me looking so hot right now.Wilson, currently ranked 14th in passer rating (94.9) and 25th in DVOA through Week 3 (-19.6%), has led the Seahawks to a 1-2 record. Rosen, 7 passing attempts into his young career, has averaged 5.1 YPA, threw a pick on his first drive and had a pick-six called back on his second. Obviously, this sample-size needs to grow, and will on Sunday.One man armies don’t exist in the NFL. Not even bad teams with good quarterbacks. The great ones cover up holes and give you a fighting chance, but nobody does it alone. Just over three and a half years since the Seahawks were one play away from winning a second Super Bowl ring, a lot has changed since Malcolm Butler became a household name.Richard Sherman’s a 49er. Kam Chancellor retired. Beast Mode retired too http://www.cardinalsauthorizedshops.com/authentic-ricky-seals-jones-jersey , but pulled a Favre and now plays for a Raiders team going nowhere. The famed “Legion of Boom”? Gone. But the current unit has very quietly become the NFC’s No. 1 ranked passer rating defense (74.4) heading into Sunday’s game.That’s bad news for a 21 year-old rookie quarterback. Rosen inherits the NFL’s 32nd ranked scoring offense, a unit that averaged 6.6 points per-game and ranked dead-last in the NFC in passer rating under Sam Bradford (62.5). Just how bad was Bradford? He averaged 3.3 AY/A (adjusted yards per passing attempt) in Weeks 1-3, lower than the career averages of Ryan Leaf (3.6) and JaMarcus Russell (5.0). Mike McCoy’s offense? The worst the NFL has seen since we were a year away from the release of Apple’s first iPhone.Insert Tweet here: The Seahawks and their 17th ranked scoring offense need to average more than 21.7 points per-game in today’s NFL. It doesn’t help that Wilson’s 3.0 YPC this season is the lowest average of his 7-year career. Duel threat? He may need to be again. Seattle’s running game currently ranks 30th in YPC (3.3) and that’s not even the worst of it.Insert Tweet here: Per Pro Football Focus, the Seahawks rank 31st and the Cardinals rank 32nd in offensive line play through Week 3. If both Seattle and Arizona don’t do something about their offensive lines—we may see Wilson playing Baseball and Rosen playing Tennis in 2019.To protect Rosen, the Cardinals may opt for a heavy dose of David Johnson. Better to push Johnson into a Seahawks defense that ranks 28th in YPC surrendered (5.1) than to have Rosen launching passes against a pass defense that ranks 6th in YPA surrendered (6.5).I don’t expect Rosen to have enough time in the pocket for his receivers to complete their routes anyway, so forcing passes into a secondary that leads the NFL in interceptions (7) sounds like a recipe for disaster. I see the Cardinals dying slowly, quietly with a running game that doesn’t yield them enough points to win before I see them crushing the aura of hope that Rosen’s supposed to give them. This organization can ill afford another PR-hit this early in the season.Against a Cardinals defense that has allowed opposing quarterbacks to complete 71.1% of their passes, Wilson should be able to complete enough of them to keep the offense moving. Scoring early will be advantageous, forcing Rosen to play from behind, making the Cardinals passing attack even more predictable.McCoy had experience working with Peyton Manning in 2012, coming off four neck surgeries when there was more need than ever to master the art of the quick-release passing. Manning led the NFL in completion-percentage (68.6%, tied with Matt Ryan), but did so playing behind a superior offensive line. Rosen may not have a neck-injury to worry about, but studying Manning’s 2012 tape might help him stay alive behind an offensive line that could leave him looking more like the 2011 edition of Manning than the 2012.Insert Tweet here: The Seahawks are currently 3-point favorites, but this game has the potential to be a more dominant win for Seattle. In a matchup of two quarterbacks I hold in high regard, I’ll take Wilson’s 7 years of experience over Rosen’s 7 days of experience. Both teams are incomplete, but the Cardinals sans Rosen remind me of the 1998 Mud Dogs sans Bobby Boucher.Hit me up Sunday night (@theryanmichael) to tell me how “Chosen Rosen” made his biggest supporter look foolish. If that time comes, I’d tell you I’m happy to be mistaken.The Chase Is On Back when the Cardinals were hosting draft prospects Tre Boston Jersey , it just so happened that UCLA QB Josh Rosen and Fordham RB Chase Edmonds visited the Cardinals facilities at the same time. The two college stars from opposite ends of the country bonded with the coaches and each other. At dinner the GM and coaches dreamed of how good it would be to draft them both.On the Cardinals’ Flight Plan, we saw that with their compensatory pick coming up at the end of the 3rd round, and with the Cardinals already having traded three draft picks to select Josh Rosen, the first name Steve Wilks proposed was Chase Edmonds. Selecting Edmonds in the third round would have followed the Cardinals’ recent pattern of taking small school offensive prospects like RB David Johnson and WR Chad Williams.Auspiciously, the Cardinals decided to hope that Edmonds would last another round, when they went with C Mason Cole at pick #97. The Cardinals got their wish when Edmonds was sitting pretty at #134.Now, on the eve of the Cardinals’ first regular season game, Mason Cole is the Cardinals’ starting center and Chase Edmonds is about to be unveiled as one of the team’s top playmakers.During the pre-season, OC Mike McCoy was being coy with his play selections, so as not to tip off his regular season plan.Already, with McCoy’s decision to bring the fullback back into the Cardinals’ running schemes, the fans will see a number of two back formations this year, the likes of which we haven’t seen in years.But—-the two RB schemes—-will not be simply relegated to the standard FB-RB tandem.Here’s the rub—-we are going to be treated to a set of 2 RB plays that feature David Johnson at one RB and Chase Edmonds at the other.With both Johnson and Edmonds on the field at the same time, McCoy has a myriad of options:Run plays out of a 2 RB set with the RBs split or off-set—-with a variety of rushing and passing options to either side (swings, flats, circles, wheels, drags Authentic Josh Bynes Jersey , screens)—-plus added blocking help for Sam Bradford.Start in a 2 back set, either split or off-set—-and motion one of the RBs into the slot, turning Johnson or Edmonds into a slot receiver.Start in a 1 RB set with the other RB lined up in the slot—-and motion back into a 2 RB set or motion across the formation to determine man or zone defense and check into quick rushing or passing options.With one of the RBs in the slot or motioning into the slot—-there should be intermediate to deep passing options to Johnson and Edmonds up the seams or on in, out, post and corner routes. We will likely see elongated motions that on the snap turn into quick RB hitch or bubble screens, especially versus zones. With one of the two RBs in the slot—-we could see RPOs in the direction of the slot RB.Finally, we may see quick circle motions from the slot—-that turn into fake off-guard dives to the 1 back followed by quick pitches to the circle-motion RB. The primary objective of these 2 RB sets will be to find a number of ways to loosen up the middle for runs and, most of all, to get Johnson or Edmonds the ball in space.Also, with David Johnson commanding great deal of attention whenever he is in the slot or motions to the slot, against good pass rushing teams (like the Redskins) we are apt to see a number of draws and screens to Chase Edmonds—-something that fits superbly into the strengths of his game.If McCoy’s offense is what the imagination suggests it is going to be, it’s quite possible that Johnson, Fitzgerald and Edmonds will be the Cardinals’ three leaders in receptions this season. Plus, the 3rd leader in rushes behind Johnson and Edmonds, could well be Christian Kirk on a variety of reverses. Again—-getting the ball in the hands of the top playmakers with as much running room as possible will be paramount. Yes, we've been hearing “pound and ground” as the offense’s top priority—-but—-the versatility of the Cardinals’ offensive personnel suggests a variety of play designs to get the playmakers the ball where they have more room to run—-and where—-if they make one defender miss—-they are off to the races.When asked this week which player asks the most questions, Mike McCoy said “Chase Edmonds.” That’s exactly right—-Chase Edmonds should be very busy come Sundays (and one Thursday night). The Chase is on!
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